ESPN.com blogger Jason A. Churchill outlined three themes that could shape the upcoming first-year player draft: San Diego State flamethrower Stephen Strasburg is the definitive No. 1 prospect; it's heavy in pitching; and there's minimal difference between first- and third-round talent.
Churchill identified Neuqua Valley lefty Ian Krol -- who was suspended for his senior season -- and Georgia prep catcher Luke Bailey -- who recently underwent Tommy John surgery - as two players who could fall out of the first round but still attract teams with deeper pockets looking for good value.
"Injured players, or talents that began the year as potential first-round picks but had down seasons, tend to be enticing for big-market clubs looking for upside in rounds after the first," Churchill wrote in an Insider blog post published Tuesday. "(Krol and Bailey) could be high-upside targets for clubs after the first round."

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